Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM
$43K Volume

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$28K Volume

Netanyahu - Israel PM
$33K Volume

None before 2027
$46K Volume

Sánchez - Spanish PM
$37K Volume

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$33K Volume

Newsom - California Governor
$33K Volume

Milei - Argentina President
$32K Volume

Putin - Russia President
$31K Volume

Merz - German Chancellor
$30K Volume

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$28K Volume

Lecornu - France PM
$28K Volume

Macron - France President
$27K Volume

Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$26K Volume

al-Sharaa - Syria President
$26K Volume

Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$26K Volume

Takaichi - Japan PM
$25K Volume

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$25K Volume

Trump - USA President
$25K Volume

Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$23K Volume

Albanese - Australia PM
$21K Volume

Abbas - President of Palestine
$21K Volume

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$21K Volume
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.

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