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Prediction markets
18 active markets
· category “Business”
How it works
How to trade
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
80%
1 (25 bps)
13%
11 more
$33.4M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
75 trading now
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
70-80B
95%
80-90B
3%
8 more
$319K
Vol.
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.49M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
83%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.30M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
50 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
25%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.87M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$101
62 trading now
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
CME
99%
LedgerX
99%
7 more
$118K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
56%
OpenAI
37%
12 more
$33K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
40 trading now
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
21%
chance
Yes
No
$60K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$122
50 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
38%
425k–450k
26%
7 more
$64K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$66
45 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$75K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$106K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$263
52 trading now
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$208
42 trading now
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