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Prediction markets

13 active markets · category “Science”

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10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

chance

YesNo
$633KVol. Dec 31science
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1
29%YesNo
2
62%YesNo
$2.94MVol. Dec 31science
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

85%

chance

YesNo
$1.1KVol. Jun 30science
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

26%

chance

YesNo
$223KVol. Dec 31science
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

70%

chance

YesNo
$3.7KVol. Jun 18science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

chance

YesNo
$95KVol. Mar 31science
Precipitation in London in June?

Precipitation in London in June?

50-60mm
50-60mm28%
70-80mm
70-80mm28%5 more
$1.1KVol. Jun 30science
Precipitation in Seattle in June?

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

1-1.5"
1-1.5"32%
1.5-2"
1.5-2"29%5 more
$621.07Vol. Jun 30science
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

chance

YesNo
$109KVol. Dec 31science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

11%

chance

YesNo
$12KVol. Dec 31science
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

11%

chance

YesNo
$7.8KVol. Dec 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

160–189
160–18952%
100–129
100–12945%7 more
$1.7KVol. Jul 8science